马莉 钱金云

摘 要：解决“三农问题”的关键就是要解决好农村居民增收难的问题。自21世纪以来，陕西省一直坚持农村、农业和农民优先发展的目标，推进乡村振兴战略。从农村居民收入来源的角度，对陕西省1999-2019年财政农业投入和农村居民人均纯收入相关数据进行向量自回归分析，得出陕西省财政的农业投入对农民收入具有积极的拉动作用和较长的持续效应这一结论。政府应进一步加大财政对农业投入的比重，完善投入结构，优化投入方式，提高财政支农效益，以促进农村居民增收。

关键词：财政支农支出;农村居民人均纯收入;陕西省

中图分类号：F810.4    文献标识码：A    DOI：10.13411/j.cnki.sxsx.2021.02.020

Analysis on the Influence of Financial Support for Agriculture Expenditure on

FarmersIncome in Shaanxi Province

MA Li， QIAN Jin-yun

（

School of Economics and Management， Yanan University， Yanan   716000，China）

Abstract：The key to solve the “three rural issues” is to solve the problem of increasing the income of rural residents. Since the 21st century，  Shaanxi province has been sticking to the target priority to the development of agriculture and farmers in rural areas， promoting the Rural Revitalization Strategy. From the perspective of the rural residents income source， through to the shaanxi province in 1999-2019 financial input to agriculture and the rural residents per capita net income of the relevant data， vector autoregression analysis， it is concluded that fiscal agricultural investment in Shaanxi Province has a positive pulling effect on farmersincome and a long-term sustainable effect. In view of this conclusion， the paper makes a mathematical statistical analysis of financial support for agriculture in Shaanxi Province， and finds out the existing problems. Therefore， the government should further increase the proportion of financial investment in agriculture， improve the investment structure， optimize the investment mode， and improve the efficiency of financial support for agriculture， so as to promote the income increase of rural residents.

Key words：financial support for agriculture and rural areas; per capita net income of rural residents; Shaanxi Province

以前各項资金对农村居民收入增长的影响效果存在差异，2007年后该投入各个部分与农村居民收入均呈正相关[6];徐灿琳，钟永建，肖芳（2015）通过多元线性回归模型对四川省泸州市1998-2012 年的相关数据进行分析，得出财政的农业投入有利于农村居民增收，提出了增加科研资金、减少农业经营性支出和加强对农村居民补贴的政策建议[7]。张志伟，佘金华（2014）分析了财政支出结构变化与经济增长的关系，提出要加大农村公共基础设施建设，加大农村教育和农业科学研究投入[8]。

目前学术界对于财政支农支出对农民收入具有一定正效应这一结论，已经达成了一定共识。但由于各地区的经济、地域和资源的差异性，且不同的学者会采用不同时间段的数据，建立不同的模型进行分析，目前关于财政支农支出给农民收入带来拉动效应的程度大小还没有统一结论 [9]。……