李献士 田曦 孙皓

摘 要：国务院办公厅在2022年出台的“十四五”现代物流发展规划中提出，要深化电商与物流行业的融合发展。我国电商行业日渐繁荣，而现代物流的发展速度相对缓慢，这导致物流与电商系统之间出现了矛盾，制约二者的协同发展。基于此，通过实证分析，运用熵权法计算物流子系统与电商子系统的有序度，进而得到2013—2021年9年间全国31个省市物流与电商复合系统的协同度。结果表明，我国整体的协同度都呈现波动状态且一直保持较低水平的发展态势，文章将各省市的协同度按高低水平具体分析，为省域物流与电商系统提出二者协调发展的建议。

关键词：省域物流；电子商务；协同度；有序度；熵权法

中图分类号：F259.27文献标志码：ADOI：10.13714/j.cnki.1002-3100.2024.10.006

Abstract： General Office of the State Council proposed in "14th Five Year Plan" for the development of modern logistics in 2022 to deepen the integration and development of e-commerce and logistics industries. However， China's e-commerce industry is becoming increasingly prosperous， while the development speed of modern logistics is relatively slow， which has led to contradictions between logistics and e-commerce systems， restricting their coordinated development. Based on this， through empirical analysis， the entropy weight method is used to calculate the order degree of logistics and e-commerce subsystems， and then the synergy degree of logistics and e-commerce composite systems in 31 provinces and cities across the country from 2013 to 2021 is obtained. The results indicate that the overall synergy in China has been fluctuating and has maintained a relatively low level of development. The article analyzes the synergy of various provinces and cities according to their high and low levels， and proposes suggestions for the coordinated development of provincial logistics and e-commerce systems.

Key words： provincial logistics; e-commerce; collaboration degree; order degree; entropy weight method

1    文献综述

近年来，随着二十大的召开以及网络技术的快速发展，我国电子商务行业的发展实践始终处于国际前列，随之而来的是现代物流业的发展速度跟不上快速发展的电商行业而导致的协同问题。张晓波（2020）、赵芳（2020）、侯约翰等（2021）学者都指出了电子商务与物流业之间存在紧密联系，两者相互影响、相互作用、相互促进。但是现代零售业的发展明显优于物流业，这导致二者之间的发展不协调，制约了双方的发展[1-3]。刘有升等（2016）、武淑萍等（2016）、杨路明等（2019）学者都将电商系统与物流系统看作是一个复合系统，应用协同学中对序参量集成的原理，构建了双方的协同发展模型，来测量两者协同发展的水平[4-6]。崔占豪等（2020）、刘景芝等（2022）、王搏等（2022）学者在研究区域物流与电商企业协同发展时通过科学的指标分析，运用多种方法对指标的权重进行计算[7-9]。……