刘兴涛

摘要：俄罗斯官方于2016年正式提出建立“大欧亚伙伴关系”，该倡议的重要组成部分之一是强化与东盟合作。俄罗斯与东盟的合作基础薄弱，跨越千山万水到东南亚开展基础设施建设更是不易，但双方合作的潜力是巨大的。俄罗斯方面，东盟是其大欧亚伙伴关系中不可或缺的一环，双方长期以来保持着比较友好的关系。同时，东南亚战略地位极其重要，不容域外势力所分化。东盟方面，其多元的对话平台致力于与各方开展建设性合作且能够顾及利益平衡，但长期受困于基础设施落后及各成员国发展水平不均等问题。因此，俄罗斯参与东南亚能源、交通和数字技术等领域的基础设施建设，不仅具备自身优势，还具有被当地所接纳的巨大空间。此外，欧亚大陆东部蓬勃的发展态势和“一带一路”建设也为双方在这方面开展合作提供了良好的机遇。

关键词：俄罗斯;东南亚;基础设施;“大欧亚伙伴关系”;“一带一路”

[中图分类号] F125            [文献标识码]  A                [文章编号] 1003-2479（2021）02-085-12

The Prospect of Russia's Participation in Infrastructure Construction in Southeast

Asia and Its Significance to Eurasia

LIU Xingtao

Abstract： Russian officials formally proposed the establishment of the Greater Eurasian Partnership in 2016， and an important part of which is strengthening cooperation with ASEAN. The foundation of Russia's cooperation with ASEAN is weak， and it is even more difficult to cross thousands of miles to Southeast Asia for infrastructure construction. Despite this， there is still great potential for both sides to cooperate with each other. As for Russia， ASEAN is an indispensable part of its Greater Eurasian Partnership. The two sides have maintained a relatively friendly relationship for a long time. At the same time， Southeast Asia's strategic position is extremely important and should not be divided by foreign forces. As for ASEAN， its diversified dialogue platform is committed to developing constructive cooperation with all parties and can balance the interests of its partners. However， ASEAN has long been trapped by such problems as the backward infrastructure and the uneven development of its members. Therefore， Russia not only has its own advantages， but also has a huge space for local acceptance when it comes to its participation in the construction of energy， transportation， and digital technology， etc. in Southeast Asia. In addition， the vigorous momentum of eastern Eurasia and "the Belt and Road" construction can help the two sides to cooperate in this field.

Key Words： Russia; Southeast Asia; Infrastructure; Greater Eurasian Partnership; The Belt and Road

一、文獻回顾

有关近年来俄罗斯与东盟的关系，许多专家学者都曾从整体上做过分析和梳理。比如肖斌认为，尽管俄罗斯与东盟都有比较强烈的合作意愿，但从贸易、投资和人员往来等指标来看，双方的实际收益相对较小，中短期内双边关系也难以显著提升①。余鑫认为，俄罗斯与东盟国家的关系潜力巨大，油气和原材料的供求关系将进一步拉近双方企业乃至国家间的多领域合作②。……