彭鑫哲 关全力

摘    要：农业供给侧结构性改革战略是突破农业发展瓶颈，提升农业综合效益水平，推动农业现代化发展的重要途径，如何进一步推进农业供给侧结构性改革战略是各专家学者关注的重点。基于生产供给侧入手，运用灰色关联度分析法探究制约新疆深入实施农业供给侧结构性改革战略的影响因素。结果发现，投资能力、农业技术水平、受教育程度和劳动力四个方面的要素与农林牧渔生产总值关联度最强是主要因素;政策保障和自然资源方面的要素关联度最小是次要影响因素。据此，从强化基础设施建设、提高职业农民培育力度、建立标准化经营管理体系、增强产业链条纵深能力、完善农业保障体系建设与构建新型经营模式等方面提出进一步完善农业供给侧结构性改革战略的对策建議。

关键词：农业供给侧结构性改革;灰色关联度分析;影响因素;新疆

中图分类号：F327          文献标识码：A         DOI 编码：10.3969/j.issn.1006-6500.2021.06.008

Analysis on the Influencing Factors of Agricultural Supply Side Structural Reform in Xinjiang

PENG Xinzhe，GUAN Quanli

（College of Economics and Trade， Xinjiang Agricultural University， Urumqi， Xinjiang 830052， China）

Abstract： The strategy of agricultural supply side structural reform is an important way to break through the bottleneck of agricultural development， improve the level of agricultural comprehensive benefits， and promote the development of agricultural modernization. How to further promote the strategy of agricultural supply side structural reform is the focus of experts and scholars. Based on the production and supply side， this study used the grey correlation analysis method to explore the influencing factors that restrict the in-depth implementation of the agricultural supply side structural reform strategy in Xinjiang.The results showed that investment ability， agricultural technology level， education level and labor force had the strongest correlation with the GDP of agriculture， forestry， animal husbandry and fishery; policy security and natural resources were the secondary factors. Accordingly， the paper put forward countermeasures and suggestions to further improve the agricultural supply side structural reform strategy from the aspects of strengthening infrastructure construction， improving the cultivation of professional farmers， establishing standardized operation and management system， enhancing the in-depth ability of industrial chain， improving the construction of agricultural security system and building a new business model.

Key words： agriculture supply-side structural reform;grey correlation analysis;influence factor;Xinjiang

习近平总书记指出，当前和今后一个时期制约我国经济发展的因素供给和需求两侧都有，但矛盾的主要方面在供给侧[1]。自供给侧结构性改革战略实施以来，新疆维吾尔自治区政府虽提高了对农业供给侧结构性改革战略开展的重视程度，但由于农业发展进程中还存在着一些问题，特别是在释放供给要素的活力和产业结构调整方面的问题未得到有效改善，致使农业总体经济收益增长趋向不够强劲。因此，本研……