吐尔孙古丽·玉苏普，侯建，陈建成

摘要：目前提“速”到提“质”的转变是我国区域发展的主要目标之一，而创新型人力资本则是推动区域发展质量的关键因素。在区域协调发展理论的基础上测评区域发展质量，同时将城市化异质门槛纳入研究框架并构建动态门槛模型，进而实证研究我国在不同城市化水平上创新型人力资本对于区域发展质量的作用。结果表明：我国区域发展质量总体上仍处于较低水平。在城市化异质效应下，创新型人力资本与区域发展质量存在非线性关系，即处较低水平的城市化不利于发挥创新型人力资本对区域发展质量的促进作用;随着城市化水平的不断上升并超过其门槛临界值时，有利于创新型人力资本的合理分布及其创造力作用的发挥，从而在一定程度上可促进区域发展质量的提升。

关键词：创新型人力资本;城市化;区域发展质量;动态面板门槛模型

DOI：10.16315/j.stm.2021.05.002

中图分类号： F 124

文献标志码： J

Research on the heterogeneous threshold effect of innovative

human capital on the quality of regional development

TUERSUNGULI Yusupu，HOU Jian，CHEN Jian-cheng

（School of Economics and Management， Beijing Forestry University， Beijing 100083， China）

Abstract：At present， the transformation from “speed” to “quality” is one of the main goals of Chinas regional development， and innovative human capital is the key factor to promote the quality of regional development. Based on the theory of regional coordinated development， this paper evaluates the quality of regional development， brings the heterogeneous threshold of urbanization into the research framework and constructs a dynamic threshold model， and then empirically studies the role of innovative human capital at different urbanization levels in China on the quality of regional development. The results show that the quality of regional development in China is still at a low level on the whole. At the same time， under the heterogeneous effect of urbanization， there is a nonlinear relationship between innovative human capital and regional development quality， that is， urbanization at a low level is not conducive to the promotion of innovative human capital on regional development quality; However， with the rising level of urbanization and exceeding its threshold， it is conducive to the rational distribution of innovative human capital and the exertion of its creative role， which can promote the improvement of the quality of regional development to a certain extent.

Keywords：innovative human capital; urbanization; regional development quality; dynamic panel threshold model

正如索爾特斯等[1]所言，如今全球化进程带来的变化体现在人类生活的不同领域，其影响人类生活质量的积极方面之一是区域发展。党的十八大以来，区域协调发展相关理论与实践不断得以丰富与拓展，有关“一带一路”、长江经济带建设、京津冀协同发展以及粤港澳大湾区建设等崭新的区域发展战略构思与重要举动陆续被提出并推行。党的十九大报告将“区域协调发展战略”列为国家未来一段时间坚持实施的七大战略之一;2020年两会政府工作报告强调继续促进京津冀协同发展、粤港澳大湾区建设以及长三角一体化发展。……