摘要 施用有机肥是我国绿色农业发展的重要内容。为了解北京农户有机肥施用行为的影响因素，利用北京地区200户微观调查数据，运用二元Logistic回归模型分析了农户有机肥施用行为及其影响因素。结果表明：农户是否接受过有机肥技术指导、是否加入合作社、农户对过量施用化肥危害环境的认知、是否担忧粮食安全性的认知以及当地政府对农村生态环境的监管程度等是影响农户施用有机肥的显著因素。根据研究结果得出相关政策启示：一是加强对我国走农业绿色发展道路的意义和作用的宣传，加强农户绿色农业相关技术的系统培训和技术指导;二是发挥合作社在绿色农业发展中的带动作用，鼓励广大农户积极加入农民专业合作社;三是健全农业农村生态环境监管政策体系，加强农村基层环境监管能力建设。

关键词 有机肥;二元Logistic模型;农户;绿色农业

中图分类号 S-9;F-327  文献标识码 A  文章编号 0517-6611（2021）12-0233-04

doi：10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2021.12.061

开放科学（资源服务）标识码（OSID）：

Study on Beijings Farmers Organic Fertilizer Application Behavior Based on Binary Logistic Model

L Na

（Department of Economics and Development， Beijing Vocational College of Agriculture，Beijing 100093）

Abstract The application of organic fertilizer is an important content in the development of green agriculture in China.In order to understand the influencing factors of farmers organic fertilizer application behavior， using the data of 200 microsurvey of Beijing， the main factors affecting the behavior of organic fertilizer application were analyzed by using binary logistic regression model. It is concluded that whether farmers have received technical guidance on organic fertilizers， whether they have joined farmers professional cooperative， the perceptions of excessive use of chemical fertilizers that harming the environment， whether they are concerned about food security， and the local governments supervision to the rural ecological environment， are significant factors affecting farmers application of organic fertilizers. According to the research results， the relevant policy implications are proposed：one is to strengthen the publicity of the significance and function of green agriculture development in China， and strengthen the systematic training and technical guidance about green agriculture for farmers. The second is to play the leading role of farmersprofessional cooperatives in the development of green agriculture and encourage farmers to actively join cooperatives actively. The third is to improve the agricultural and rural ecological environment supervision policy system and strengthen the construction of rural grass roots environmental supervision capacity.

Key words Organic fertilizer;Binary Logistic model;Farmer households;Green agriculture

农业的生态与生产的双重功能要求现代农业必须走绿色安全的产业发展道路，绿色农业逐渐成为现代农业可持续发展的主导模式[1]。绿色农业的发展理念和生产方式涉及面广，内容丰富，有机肥替代化肥是其中的重要内容。化肥是重要的农业生产资料，对提升我国粮食产量、保障粮食安全具有突出意义。但是，过量施用化肥又会造成严重的经济、社会、生态环境问题[2-4]。有机肥替代化肥是实现农业提质增效、绿色发展的有效措施。……