李国强

摘 要：运用文献资料法、数理统计法和对比分析等方法，对全运会举办地相邻届次参赛投入和参赛成绩的差异性及关联性进行比较分析，探索全运会举办地的参赛投入与参赛成绩在不同届次的规律特征。从总体上看，举办中届参赛项目和获得的奖牌数量与举办后届相比不具有显著性差异，其余各项参赛投入和参赛成绩在不同届次上均具有显著性差异，举办中届显著高于举办前届和举办后届。全运会举办地在不同届次上有相应的战略部署，使得参赛投入与成绩关联效益有所不同，表现为：举办后届>举办前届>举办中届。

关键词： 全运会；相邻届次；投入与成绩；比较研究

中图分类号： G 812.20 文章编号：1009-783X（2014）04-0366-05 文献标志码： A

Abstract：Using the research methods of literature review，mathematical statistics and comparative analysis，this thesis sets to analyze the difference and correlation between the investment and performance of host cities in adjacent National Games of China，so as to explore the features of the investment and performance of host cities in adjacent National Games.Generally speaking，there is no significant difference in the number of medals obtained between the ongoing and the following games.There is significant difference in the different games of the investment and performance where the ongoing games are significantly higher than the previous and following games.The host cities have corresponding strategies for the different times of National Games which result in the different correlation between the investment and performance of adjacent National Games.

Keywords：National Games of China；adjacent games；investment and performance；comparative study

全运会是国内规模最大、影响力最强、水平最高的综合性运动会，不仅成为各省市区展示体育竞技实力的舞台，也在促进群众体育、社会全面发展中发挥着独特的功能和作用。在市场经济背景下，各省市区对全运会参赛的投入越来越大，如何有效统筹和使用这些投入，争取更多的参赛成绩，是制订区域体育发展战略和奥运战略的重要依据。针对全运会举办地参赛投入与参赛成绩之间关系的研究，是当前体育界讨论的热点问题。孔庆鹏[1]研究认为，大型体育赛事的参赛工作是一个复杂的系统工程，并对系统构成及相关保障措施进行了分析；池建等[2]对我国参加2008年奥运会的参赛目标以及参赛策略进行了探讨；钟秉……