马晓葳+李淑杰+梁珍玮+孙博+黄烁秋

摘要：在新常态经济的大环境下，国内生产总值不能再表征中国经济发展的形态，衡量中国经济增长亟需新的创新指标。基于对新常态经济时期的考量，探索生态服务价值与经济的关系，并以吉林省为例，测算2010-2015年间的生态服务价值并进行修正，进而分析生态服务价值与新常态新型经济指标的相关关系。结果表明，2010-2015年吉林省生态服务价值逐年小幅降低，而人均生态服务价值的变化幅度较大，经济指标与生态服务价值相关性依次为地区生产总值>银行贷款>居民收入>全社会用电量>登记失业率>货运量，就业指数和污染总量与生态服务价值无显著相关。

关键词：新常态；生态服务价值；经济指标；相关性；吉林省

中图分类号：F323.22 文献标识码：A 文章编号：0439-8114（2017）14-2782-05

DOI：10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2017.14.046

Abstract： In the new normal environment， GDP cannot represent the form of economic development， economic growth in China need new indicators of innovation. This paper， based on the consideration of the China's new normal period， explores the relationship between the value of ecological services and the economy. Taking Jilin Province as an example， calculated the ecological services value during 2010 and 2015 and amended. Then study the relationship of the value of ecological service and the new normal Indicators. The study showed that a slightly decreased of ecological service value in Jilin Province from 2010 to 2015， but the value of ecological service per capita changed greatly. The correlation between economic indicators and ecological service value was from the largest to the smallest. The results were as follows. GDP> Bank Loans> Whole society electricity consumption> Registered unemployment rate> Freight volume， employment index and total pollution have no significant correlation with ecological service value.

Key words： new normal；ecological service value；economic index；correlation；Jilin provience

生态服务价值是指生态系统与生态过程中所形成及所维持的人类赖以生存的自然环境条件和效用，包括对人类生存及生活质量有贡献的生态系统产品和生态系统功能[1-3]。目前，中国正处于经济转型升级的特殊发展时期，坚挺了几十年的国内生产总值增速放缓，新常态经济应运而生，生态自然环境与经济社会发展的矛盾冲突日益加深，传统的重要经济指标也呈现出疲态。新常态经济是由GDP高速增长导向的传统经济发展模式向中高速发展的新型经济模式，是经济结构不断优化升级、要素驱动和投资驱动向创新驱动转换、经济增长方式日益转变的新概括。