朱伟珠++李春发

〔摘要〕區域技术创新是新一代信息技术产业发展的重要推动力之一，研究两者的协调关系及时空演变特征，对探讨如何促进技术创新，加快产业发展具有重要意义。在构建综合评价指标体系基础上，利用全局时序主成分分析法对我国八大经济区（2004-2013年）技术创新能力与新一代信息技术产业发展水平进行系统分析，借助GeoDa空间分析软件和协调度评价模型对两者的协调发展关系、时空演变特征进行实证研究。结果表明：①我国区域技术创新能力与新一代信息技术产业发展水平呈上升趋势，两者的高水平区集中在沿海地区，呈线状分布。自东向西即从东南沿海到西北内陆呈阶梯型递减趋势；②我国区域技术创新能力与新一代信息技术产业发展的协调性不断加强，高协调度区域主要分布在沿海和沿江地区；③高协调度区域由点状逐渐扩展为线状和面状。三大沿海地区及长江中游各省份协调度增长幅度较大，而黄河中游、大西南、大西北和东北地区也有所增长。

〔关键词〕区域技术创新；新一代信息技术产业；全局主成分分析；协调发展

DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1008-0821.2017.05.023

〔中图分类号〕F1213；G202〔文献标识码〕A〔文章编号〕1008-0821（2017）05-0137-08

Coordinated Development Between Regional Technical Innovation and the

New Generation of IT Industry in ChinaZhu Weizhu1Li Chunfa2

（1.Library，Tianjin University of Technology，Tianjin 300384，China；

2.School of Management，Tianjin University of Technology，Tianjin 300384，China）

〔Abstract〕Regional technological innovation is one of the important driving forces for the development of the new generation of information technology industry.It is of great significance to study how to promote the technical innovation and accelerate the industrial development by studying the coordination relationship between technological innovation and new IT industries，as well as their characteristics of the space-time evolution.On the basis of constructing the comprehensive evaluation index system，this paper made use of the global time series principal component analysis to systematically analyze the technological innovation capability and the new information technology industry development level of the eight economic zones in China（2004-2013）.With GeoDa spatial analysis software and coordination degree evaluation model，an empirical study was given.The result showed：①Chinas regional technological innovation capacity and the development level of the new generation information technology industry were on the rise，while both high-level areas concentrated in the coastal areas，showing linear distribution.From the southeast coast to the northwest inland there was a ladder-type decline trend；②The coordination between Chinas regional technological innovation ability and the development level of the new generation information technology industry continued to strengthen.And the area with high coordination mainly distributed in the coastal areas and areas along the Yangtze River；③The region with high coordination degree gradually expanded from point to line and plane.The growths of coordination degree in three major coastal areas and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River provinces was great，while the coordination degree in the middle reaches of the Yellow River，southwest，northwest and northeast regions also increased.

〔Key words〕regional technological innovation；new generation of IT industry；principal component analysis；coordinated development

金融危机之后，世界各国产业发展进入战略调整时期。美国经济学家赫希曼[1]最早提出了战略性新兴产业的概念，美国政府大力支持以新能源为主导产业的战略性新兴产业的发展。2010年我国政府颁布了关于“发展战略性新兴产业”的决定。2016年，“十三……