基于多级模糊综合评价法的汽车供应链风险评估

2016-01-12邓红星,苑婷

森林工程 2015年2期

邓红星，苑婷

(东北林业大学交通学院，哈尔滨 150001)

摘要：潜在的供应链风险是破坏企业可靠稳定运行的隐患之一。由于供应链风险管理的实用性和复杂性，这个领域吸引了研究人员的广泛关注。当今供应链管理急需解决的难题有如何帮助企业来分析、识别供应链风险的因素，对其潜在的风险进行预测和控制，并且为各种风险给出相应的防范措施。在研究供应链风险的过程中有许多评估方法，本文采用的是多级模糊综合评价法，根据我国的汽车企业风险现状，试图将多级模糊综合评价法应用于风险评估中，以此来分析汽车企业供应链面临的主要风险因素，并得出评估结果，为今后研究提出思路。

关键词：多级模糊综合评价法；汽车供应链；风险评估

中图分类号：[S 7-9];F 426

文献标识码：A

文章编号：1001-005X(2015)02-0149-05

Abstract：The potential risk of supply chain is one of the hidden troubles for the reliable and stable operation of an enterprise.The field of supply chain risk management has attracted extensive attention of the researchers due to its complexity and practicability.Nowadays，what supply chain management needs to solve urgently is how to help enterprises analyze and identify the factors of supply chain risks，forecast and control the potential risks，and present the preventive countermeasures.There are many methods in supply chain risk assessment.In this paper，the multilevel fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is adopted，which is still very rare in our country in risk assessment.According to the risk situation of automobile enterprises in our country，the multistage fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used in risk assessment in order to analyze the main risk factors in automobile enterprise supply chain and get the assessment results，and an innovative point for future research is put forward.

Keywords：multilevel fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method；automobile supply chain；risk assessment

收稿日期：2014-10-09

基金项目：黑龙江省自然科学基金项目(E201145)；黑龙江省交通运输厅科研项目(2012)

作者简介：第一邓红星，博士，教授。研究方向：交通运输工程。E-mail：1969dhx@163.com

Automotive Supply Chain Risk Assessment Based onMultilevel Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment Method

Deng Hongxing，Yuan Ting

(Traffic College，Northeast Forestry University，Harbin 150040)