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广东城镇化水平综合测度及影响因子分析

2015-10-20胡萍徐友光张妙琴

胡萍 徐友光 张妙琴

摘要采用熵值分析法,对广东省1991年至2014年的城镇化水平进行综合测度与分析,研究结果显示:广东城镇化综合水平呈逐年上升趋势,与经济城镇化水平存在显著的正相关,分层指标体系中首先表现为经济的增长和人口膨胀带来的城镇化,其次是生态的城市化,最后则是生活的城镇化.在城镇化进程中,各分层指标体系演变显示建成区人口密度和人均园林绿地面积及货物周转量,对新型城镇化的作用较为明显,其次是第三产业贡献和社会消费品零售额,其他的指标对其影响较弱.从“人本”和“生态文明”的理念出发,广东省应将提高城镇居民生活水平、缩小城乡差距以及改善生态环境质量作为城镇化质量内涵,走城镇化质量与水平协调发展之路.

关键词城镇化水平; 复合指标体系; 影响因子 熵值分析法

中图分类号F293文献标识码A文章编号10002537(2015)05001506

Research on the Level of Urbanization Comprehensive Evaluation

Index System and the Index Scores in Guangdong Province

HU Ping*, XU Youguang, ZHANG Miaoqin

(South China Business College, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou 510545, China)

AbstractUsing the method of entropy, the urbanization level in Guangdong province from 1991to 2014 and comprehensive analysis were studied. The results show that the urbanization comprehensive level maintain rapid growth trend in Guangdong, there is significant positive correlation with economic urbanization level. The index system of stratification in the first place is the form of economic growth and the urbanization of population, the second is the ecological urbanization, and the last is the urbanization of life. In the process of urbanization, the index of population density evolution showed that proper and garden green land per capita and freight turnover have great influence on the new urbanization, and the second is the third industry contribution and social retail sales of consumer goods, while other indicators is relatively weak to the new urbanization. To improve the quality of urbanization in Guangdong province, we should adhere to the values and beliefs of peopleoriented and ecological civilization. At the same time, the life level should be improved, and the gap between the urban and rural should be narrowed.

Key wordsurbanization level; the composite index system; factor of influence; entropy value method

城镇化是社会经济发展的必然趋势,是社会进步的重要标志.近年来,随着全球范围城镇化进程的加快,新型城镇化概念被广泛运用.学术界主要对城镇化发展阶段划分及特征,城镇化发展战略,城镇化模式、现状及原因分析等问题开展了广泛的研究;也有学者从城镇化水平进行了探索和评价[12].

从研究内容来看,首先集中于城镇化水平和发展特征的评价指标体系设计上.关于城镇化指标,最早可追溯到美国阿·英克尔斯(Alex Inkeles)和联合国社会发展问题研究提出的现代……

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